Conviction-tested picks across MLB, NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAAF, and NCAAB. Posted before tip-off. Documented. Zero hype.
Every pick is graded on a 1 to 5 star conviction scale set at posting time. Stake size follows conviction, not vice versa. No after-the-fact retconning.
Picks land in the subscriber Discord and email before tip-off, with timestamps. Wins, losses, and no-actions are graded against the closing line.
Below a +1.5% modeled edge against the consensus line, the position simply isn't released. Volume isn't the goal. Survival of the closing line is.
No founder cult, no Twitter takes, no “tail us.” A team of analysts operating against a process. The receipts speak; the desk doesn't.
The same five-step process runs every day across six leagues. No shortcuts on a busy slate. No vibes-based picks on a quiet one.
Every line across major books, pulled, normalized, and held against historical baselines.
Game-state simulation runs across thousands of paths per matchup. The output is a price distribution, not a prediction.
Modeled fair value vs market price. Anything under +1.5% is shelved. Volume is not the goal.
Analysts review every position for context the model can't see: injuries, rotations, weather, scheduling fatigue.
Picks ship to Discord and email pre-game with timestamps. After the final whistle, every position is graded against close.
Subscriptions are run through Whop. Picks are delivered via Discord and email. No separate login, no friction. Cancel any time.
Sample the process. See yesterday's slate, posted publicly the morning after.
Picks before the game, every day, across all six leagues.
Everything in Standard, plus the reasoning and the tools.
Billing handled by Whop. Cancel anytime. 3-month, 6-month, and annual packages launching soon. Picks delivered via Discord and email. No app login required.